My name is Vitaly Guitberg, I am a candidate architecture,
in 1992 moved from Moscow for permanent residence in Canada, in Toronto. In
addition to my professional work I am also a President and CEO of an
independent, non-profit corporation "Alliance of Technology and Science
Specialists of Toronto Inc. (ATSS)", existing since 1991, in which has
since registered more than 1000 highly qualified specialists, who came to
Canada from different countries of the CIS, Europe and worldwide. About ATSS you can find on the websites: www.atss.org, www.e-noosphere.com.
However, mostly, I'd like introduce myself as the author
of an innovative «Methodology of Computerized Systems Analysis and Design
(MCAD)"© that is a base for development a unique system of
"Intelligent Information and Expert / Design System (II&ES)”© and
several of its applications in various fields of human endeavor, including
medicine and e-government, which is done by me in collaboration with my
The main component of the system
is a Universal Knowledge Base (UKB) ©, which is filled gradually using a method
of formalized system analysis and the extent of application development. In the
methodology I spend the idea that every conscious activity is the result of its
designing and on this basis making a decision.
It might seem trite, but like we know what to designing,
say, for the optimal control solutions you need to be familiar with the
situation (of the environment), to be able to analyze it in detail (systems
analysis), which means to identify all important factors, and then be able to
take them into account in its activities, i.e. you must possess all the
necessary professional knowledge.
This process of analyzing the
situation, taking into account all necessary factors, the choice on this basis,
the best means or ways to achieve the goal, predicting the consequences of
their choices, and finally a decision,- is the content of any processes of the
designing including the designing of the control. In this case, the quality of
the result depends on the availability of knowledge and the method of their
All candidates for the
replacement of bad acting authorities try not to take into account that
decision-maker person can not be able quite well aware of the situation in the
country’s, even more so in such a big country like Russia. Any incoming
"bottom-up" information is always filtered and distorted. For
reliable guarantee objectivity and reliability of the information should be
developed a special methodology and an electronic system for collecting such
information. It hardly believes that even those people who are under yours
criticized possess necessary for these resources. For gathering of totally
objective and trustworthy information needed a special network that will not
distort it. Do not worry these does not exist anywhere in the world.
Further, of systematic
analysis method yet nobody in the world possesses, for the simple reason that
for a generally person not under force to take into account many factors in
their relationship. Therefore, even properly analyze the information you could
gather from sources available to you, you may not without the use of
Computerized Systems Analysis (see above). Again, it is required the science as
well as a lot of money to implement the system.
Nobody is able to own all
necessary professional knowledge, such specialists in the world does not exist.
It is excluded, due to the intensively expanding of volume of information,
haphazardly scattered across different sources. Thus is why needed the
Knowledge Base (see above).
I am writing this because I am
alarmed of your program which you have declared in a conversation with Ms.
Albats. It was very much clear that you do not will take into consideration the
large number of factors and these are in your case very dangerous. I sympathize
with you and I am not very much would like to see the ruling junta leave you
for rot in jail. I think that your colleagues and co-authors neither Putin nor
Medvedev especially do not care; they see that people are not interested in
them and they are not as aggressive.
As I am living in another
country, I can see many things happening in Russia, comparing with what is
happening in Canada, I say to that "large seen from a distance." So,
about what seen from a distance, I would like all the same to share with you.
At least I'll know that for his part did all he could.
But! I am not a politician, and I
see everything in another perspective, common to all mankind.
What is seen from a distance on the basis of past and
present scientific and methodological expertise Developer MCAD and II & ES
1. With respect to the displacement of Putin and
Seems that Putin must go, but this would not lead to any
changes. Democracy and elections - is not a panacea, more importantly, who
could then come to power. Somehow not to be felt in your speeches that you are
seriously sure in that the Russian people will support you personally.
Therefore is not ruled out the arrival of leaders such as HAMAS and HAZBOLA,
but in the Russian version.
Ranking of countries on corruption suggests that democracy
always is flawed. Where management is completely in the hands of people, money
will tends to become sticky to your hands. Essentially get rid of corruption is
impossible without the creation and implementation of a nation wide single
Intelligent Information and Expert / Design System, as an advisor for optimal
decision making at all levels of government. Should be established electronic
system for impartially controlling of managerial decisions from top to bottom,
which excludes their voluntarism and, respectively, and corruption.
It is clear that to implement such a system, Putin must
go, not only because the people are already tired from him, and everybody
understands that he has already made a fortune. He and his team, those who
patronized him, will not tolerate with formal methods which could take from his
hand a control over the corrupt system. Putin only knows how to save a
centuries-old Russian corrupt system. For this he could to do nothing, because
the country lived like this, lives and will live on.
not alone, the global economic crisis - a crisis of governance. He showed that
faith in the stability of the effective management of the economy, regardless
of market or state, has not justified itself. China with cheap labor is
attracted huge number of foreign enterprises and foreign innovation - not an
indicator. It is clear that until will be created and adopted a reliable means
to make optimal decisions, they will be voluntaristic. Become almost a rule
that the socio-economic projects, regardless of whether they were done under
dictatorial or democratic regimes do not achieve the goals and more often they
do not possess the means to change this situation.
2. With respect to the displacement of Putin and free
I do not think that this is done on purpose, it would be
too clever, but objectively it turned out that Putin and Medvedev are going to
check two alternatives: Putin - Putin's tough approach, Medvedev - probably
yours. People basically choose Putin. More people on public opinion polls voted
for him. You laugh over Medvedev's behavior even though he almost literally
ideologically with you repeated, as though implying that he was going to go
yours way. You are even ready to support him. Just like you both, Mr. Medvedev
believes this way is long enough. The path is so long that the end is not
visible. And so they do not like to see you as interferer in this way,
stumbling under their feet and pushing them, you have to be eliminated.
To everyone in the society felt free to express their
interests, thoughts, preferences, etc. need very much, and above all, members
of society should not be poor. Let us remember the slogan under which happen
all the speeches against tyranny: "Liberty, Equality and Fraternity."
Which, unfortunately, always are discredited by those who came to power under
these slogans. It is known that instead of people, who brought in society
bright ideas and be able to overthrowing tyrants, but who can not manage the
state daily, will inevitably transferred to the scoundrels who can use this
liberty to establish its even more brutal dictatorship.
Without a scientifically sound methodology and ideology of
genuinely free and democratic society in Russia is not installed. For this also
needs a single national system - “Intelligent Information and Expert / Design
System”, which will deliver the desired goal of the optimal way. Science and
technology should have a permanent development and application in public
administration through II & ES and the universal knowledge base. In support
of above mentioned, I want to point out the interview in the magazine “Itogi”,
(№ 26," The Age of Change ") with the renowned British
futurists James Martin (you probably have read it), in which he argued that
without the creation of a common computerized knowledge and a system that uses
artificial intelligence tools for making optimal decisions, the world waits for
a return to the Stone Age, and that the world economy will depends on the
united in the global network of modules of artificial intelligence is greater
than the price of oil. As the author of a unified for different domains a model
of the universal knowledge base that almost could gradually become a global, I
do not doubt the correctness of the essence of his forecast.
It does not seems, that the people of today or even tomorrow
Russia will want to stand under the compromise itself communist banners of
"freedom, equality and fraternity", whose implementation is possible
only in their entirety. So far the younger generation is going out with slogans
like "Russia for the Russian and Moscow for the Russian." For who here
provides freedom? How many people would attract ideas of the brotherhood and
good science-based methodology for multicultural education and more
understanding in the community that there is not "Russian", but there
are the people of Russia.
I'm not a fan of Mr. Shevchenko, the explicit demagogue,
but for some reason he's one to my surprise several times repeated the idea
that the "Russian" - the concept is not ethnic.
When my student friend, whose father was Armenian and
mother was Tatar, must get a passport, she had signed as the
"Russian". Lady in passport office asked her why she did it, but did
not take the nationality of either parent. My friend replied that she none of
them did not want to offend anyone, but "Russian" is the only these
way are obtained. She was right, because simply can not be, over the centuries
"ethnically pure" people to stay in Russia, and perhaps in the world.
When in Russia for everyone would become clear that there
are only a large, ethnically mixed people of Russian, who are mostly
"non-Russian" and they must be a single family of free, equal and
fraternal peoples, most of which ethnically mixed.
My experience of life in the former Soviet Union suggests
that the majority of people avoid to be arrogant as the "Great
Rassian", especially those who know how this idea is compromised is not
only by the attitude of 'Russian nationalists' with other nations, but not
respected themselves, and this is never corrected.
people began to respect themselves, they must become the Russia's people and to
feel like one family. Only this can give people respect for himself. But such
action should be sincere, and this should appear in the corresponding ideology
based on humanism and equality of nations, backed by actions (!).
that I'm good only because I'm Russian, more often inherent in exactly to
"not a purely Russian", who want to such way for hide their
"mixed origin" and thus produce a pitiful sight.
understand that those who have been able to realize such a project yet on the
horizon is not visible. Nationalist youth movements are dangerous in that them
are easy to put under other slogans, getting a freedom and from among them will
come out those to whom you, or even more so your colleagues, will open the door
to power. Good intentions strew road to hell. It has been proved repeatedly.
Seen also, that without evidence-based humanistic ideology and
methodology of transformation people of Russia in a humane, lawful and free
society, they will not able to choose worthy leaders.
Today the people of Russia, unlike other nations, is quite
not law-abided and sees in this as his main advantage (!). My neighbor is with
great pride to say: "A group of bureaucrats to come up and pass laws, but
how to circumvent them is thinking the whole nation." By the way, he was a
senior officer of KGB, and he knew what he told. Circumvent the law - it means engender
of corruption. It is not easy to change of centuries-old lifestyle. It is not
possible to punish of all officials - will have to change the entire government
machinery from top to bottom, as they say, from sea to sea. And the leader,
replacing the previous better not be because he has already received
absolution, because he was appointed or elected precisely because he is
3. What possible to see In the free western society
that you do not see.
I live with my family in the most
multicultural city in the world - Toronto. Stark contrast society in favor of
Canadian and defies simple description. There are too much to compare. Faced
with a normal human, respectful and courteous to you attitude, who has done
nothing for this country, you already feel as quite respected personality.
Of course, gradually begin to realize that the ideal
society does not exist, not all could be satisfied. But, importantly, that the
idea of freedom, equality and fraternity are implemented and everybody are
valued of this.
In Canada, you will not consider
as a worthy of respect, if you're trying to hide yours origin, and you do not
belong to an ethnic or religious community. This always is open, even in mixed
families. The ethnically different audiences, that emphasizing their ethnic
identity in dress, in their national costumes, can be found in supermarkets, in
public places, streets, and nowhere is this not evokes a feeling of
Culture of relations between people here is
based on respect for the man ("Human Rights") - everyone it should
feel. It is clear that the attitude toward small nations and the elderly - the
main evidence on health of society. So, health of Canadian society is
excellent. Black people in Canada are not like in America - they were never
here slaves. American black are never black Canadian. History does not go for nothing - its dirty tricks handed down.
What should be done to turn Russia into a civilized
European country in the near future, in reality, nobody knows. All
self-righteously claim that they know how to rebuild the country, looks at
least funny if not pathetic. Even the experience of other nations, transferred
to the soil of Russia, takes ugly forms for adaptation. Indeed, much good has
come to Russia from abroad (art, architecture, music, literature, science,
political system, army, etc.). And much defiled best of their ability already inside
of the country. Previously - Stalin, Lysenko and others, and today, Putin and
Today is more important for the
future - is to promote in society the social-economic science and e-technology
that should occupy a dominant position. So if you want to bring benefit their
own country, switch your attention to the promotion of a scientific approach to
politics. I invite you both to cooperate on implementing the MCAD and II &
ES, and in a hurry, I am no longer young. I think that as an active person, you
in this direction will greatly benefit people and save his family and
I do not pretend that I proclaim the absolute truth!
This is just my thoughts! I would be glad if you listen to them.